Fajarasia.id — November 16, 2025 Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa has expressed optimism about Indonesia’s economic outlook, projecting that national growth could reach 6 percent in 2026. He believes current government policies are on the right track and will accelerate economic expansion if maintained consistently.
“If the policies being implemented now continue to run well, we are on the right path. I estimate growth will be even faster,” Purbaya said in Jakarta on Sunday.
Stable Growth
Purbaya forecasted that Indonesia’s economy in the fourth quarter of 2025 would grow around 5.7 percent, higher than the 5.04 percent recorded in the third quarter. He emphasized that fiscal management remains prudent, with the state budget deficit kept below the safe threshold of 3 percent. “The deficit is still safe, so there is no need to worry that prudence is being compromised,” he added.
Positive Impact on Employment
The momentum of economic growth has also translated into improvements in the labor market. During the third quarter of 2025:
- 1.9 million new jobs were created
- The number of unemployed fell to 7.46 million
- The Open Unemployment Rate (TPT) declined from 4.91% to 4.85%
These figures reflect a recovering economy and increased mobility among the population.
Consumption and Government Spending
On the demand side, household consumption grew 4.89% year-on-year, driven by digital transactions and government programs aimed at sustaining purchasing power. Government spending also supported growth, with goods expenditure rising 19.3% and employee spending increasing 9%.
Strengthening Investment
Investment expanded by 5.04%, signaling stronger business confidence in Indonesia’s economic prospects. Policy stability and a conducive business climate were cited as key factors driving investment growth.
Looking Ahead to 2026
With positive trends across multiple sectors, Purbaya is confident that the 6 percent growth target for 2026 is achievable. The government remains committed to sustaining this momentum through prudent fiscal policy, strengthening domestic consumption, and encouraging sustainable investment.****
